| The popular word now in real estate is | | | | estate, he states, “Having gone through a |
| “attrition”–the reduction in numbers usually by | | | | bankruptcy and being laid off two times within one |
| resignation or retirement of some sort. Everyone is | | | | year really changed my perception of the industry. I |
| talking about a form of attrition, whether it is in number | | | | started to see the volatility and uncertainty that is part |
| of transactions, loans closing or some other measure | | | | of commercial real estate. While I do like the business, I |
| that we like to use. | | | | began to consider leaving to find something more |
| However, as a broker, I am seeing another kind of | | | | stable. It was this understanding that really started to |
| attrition among my colleagues. The attrition rate of | | | | change my thinking of staying in commercial real |
| brokers and other service providers in this down | | | | estate.” |
| market is rarely discussed and not easy to quantify. | | | | Keith continued to express his desire to work in the |
| Most brokers do not like speaking about the rate at | | | | industry but felt with the mass closures, layoffs and |
| which their counterparts are leaving the commercial | | | | bankruptcies, he was competing for jobs with much |
| real estate industry. But there is definitely a bright side | | | | more seasoned professionals. He continued, “Firms |
| to working with real estate professionals that are | | | | that were/are hiring seem to be looking for |
| products of the attrition rate and faring well in this | | | | experienced (15 years or more) talent that they can |
| market. | | | | hire at a discounted rate. While I have six years |
| It’s no big secret that brokers are typically paid on | | | | experience, many people with a lot more experience |
| commissions earned from sales. Therefore, when | | | | than me were looking for the same jobs.” |
| there are fewer sales, there are fewer commissions. | | | | Brokers are hardly the only group of service providers |
| And when there are fewer commissions to go around, | | | | that are experiencing attrition in this market. |
| people have a tough time maintaining a lifestyle or | | | | Development firms started laying off people in 2007 |
| paying bills altogether. Some brokers just can’t | | | | and consolidating offices in order to weather the |
| afford to be brokers anymore. | | | | upcoming storm. While most are working on skeleton |
| So what is a once-prolific real estate professional to | | | | crews, some have been forced into drastic scenarios |
| do? The answer is simple: Hang in there. | | | | and closed their doors altogether. |
| While most brokers do not make as much money in | | | | Attorneys, once considered recession proof, have |
| down markets, some still do. Leasing brokers are a | | | | been forced to reduce salaries and lay off some of |
| prime example, especially those representing tenants. | | | | their staff in order to work under a business model |
| With rates down, vacancy at abnormally high rates | | | | that receives fewer fees. The easy money is gone |
| and landlords more apt to make a deal, tenants that | | | | and most likely wont come back for decades. That |
| are still in business are shuffling their spaces to more | | | | aspect in itself will deter many from staying in the |
| affordable locales and the brokers are there to | | | | business and will most likely detract from new |
| facilitate the transaction. | | | | professionals being motivated to enter the business. |
| However, let’s discover more specific and critical | | | | New graduates are finding that jobs are less prevalent |
| data points that point to success, and downfall, of | | | | in the field and are reallocating their academic credits |
| brokers in recessionary periods. The arduous and | | | | to different interests in order to have a better chance |
| coveted Certified Commercial Investment Member | | | | of gaining employment. |
| (CCIM) designation has probably seen the smallest | | | | A group of industry professionals got together in 1954 |
| decrease in membership over the past year. Losing | | | | and started the Realty Foundation of New York. Its |
| only 2% of its almost 10,000 members in this economy, | | | | sole purpose is to help brokers when times are tough. |
| CCIM could be used as a barometer for those truly | | | | Through anonymous grants, they help their colleagues |
| committed to commercial real estate sales. With an | | | | get back on their feet. Maybe it’s several months |
| increase of membership over the past five years of at | | | | of mortgage payments, college scholarships for their |
| least 17%, it could be said that those committed to | | | | kids or paying a tax bill that comes due, but the |
| professional commercial real estate services are still | | | | foundation is as busy as ever in this market. |
| interested in the industry. Additionally, from January | | | | From the 1950s to today, people know that brokerage |
| 2005 to October of this year, CCIM has enrolled over | | | | is a necessary profession in the commercial real |
| 85,000 people in its courses. | | | | estate industry and is not always the easiest one to |
| While statistics are helpful to determine trends, it is also | | | | sustain. Keeping true professionals in the business, |
| important to qualify what commercial real estate | | | | even in the hardest times, will benefit everyone as the |
| professionals are experiencing. We have heard of | | | | market begins to take a positive turn. |
| entire brokerage firms closing in 2009 and seen layoffs | | | | What I am personally finding, as a broker, is that some |
| beyond our comprehension. But do we know exactly | | | | of the slower times at the beginning of the year helped |
| what has happened to the people that were laid off | | | | me formulate my strategies for the next several |
| on a day’s notice? We hear from industry | | | | years. I knew that while I wasn’t going to retire in |
| professionals that most of the seasoned brokers have | | | | the next six months, I was able to have more |
| easily found a new home. While it may take a little | | | | substantive conversations both with colleagues as well |
| while for them to build their brand under a new | | | | as future clients. I was able to take advantage of the |
| umbrella, they have committed themselves to their | | | | phone not ringing every two minutes and actually |
| profession. | | | | engage in a meaningful conversation. Essentially, I was |
| However, like previously stated, some have left the | | | | able to listen, learn and, in some cases, mentor. |
| business altogether. Without naming names, we have | | | | With the national unemployment rate essentially at 10% |
| heard of commercial real estate investment sales | | | | and layoffs still occurring from large conglomerates to |
| brokers going to medical supply sales; we have heard | | | | small local businesses, we can assume that there will |
| of brokers going to copier sales; and we have even | | | | be additional attrition in commercial real estate for the |
| heard of brokers going to the restaurant industry. | | | | next year or two. So what are you ultimately left with |
| Brokers are having a hard time remaining brokers, yet | | | | and who is the last one standing? |
| those that are sticking it out are experiencing less | | | | Those that remain in the business, are dedicated to the |
| competition. Those people, the last ones standing, are | | | | field, are true professionals and realize that this is a |
| those committed to an industry that isn’t always | | | | difficult, complex and sophisticated industry are the |
| good to them. | | | | people you want to work with now and into the future. |
| As an example of the effects the market is having on | | | | They understand that every year, every quarter or |
| well-trained and ambitious professionals, highlighting one | | | | every day will not be a windfall of cash. But they |
| individual that optimizes the tone of the market is | | | | appreciate the long and established relationships that |
| important. Keith Edwards, MBA, is a relative newcomer | | | | they generate over the years of providing the absolute |
| to commercial real estate, having been in the industry | | | | best and most comprehensive services. |
| roughly six years. However, during his tenure, he has | | | | In essence, those real estate professionals that are still |
| been considered a strong asset to two | | | | here and those committed to their field are who you |
| once-successful companies: a regional developer and | | | | should choose to work with for years to come. |
| a tenant-in-common syndicator. | | | | Because we all know those that were in it for the |
| Keith was part of dozens of transactions during his | | | | quick buck always had their eye on just that and not |
| time at each position, but became a product of his | | | | the long-term benefit of servicing their clients for |
| environment. Laid off twice within 12 months, he has | | | | extended |
| been looking for a new position for about a year. | | | | By: David Sobelman |
| When asked about his perception of commercial real | | | | Source: GlobeSt. |